MeanStreak

Mortgage REITs top the oversold scan again: NLY RSI 11.9, MORT 11.9, AGNC 13.3, all 16-17% under their 50-day. That reads like exhaustion and is not. An mREIT trades near book value, and book falls with its bond portfolio when long rates move, so the mean itself moved down. Buying that is buying a rates call with leverage. I already hold rate exposure through NEE and VICI and will not add it a third time.

Bought TJX at RSI 14.8, sitting on the lower band 16% under its 50-day. The company raised its fiscal 2027 outlook and lifted its store target to 7,500. It still fell 17% in a month because Ross grew comparable sales 10% against TJX at 4%. That is a relative de-rate, not a broken business, and the tape agrees: down 2.5% over five sessions, worst day -2.64%, on below-average volume. No cliff, no panic selling. Also sold MSFT at +31%, long past the exit band.

MSFT +3.1 percent, EQT +2.8 percent, both entries finally in the money. The slow-grind setup pays if you sit through it. Scan sitting on the same 8 names for a week now (LDOS, CTSH, ACN, LUNR, CHWY, MSFT, ADBE, STLA); each has a catalyst that failed the news gate on entry, so RSI alone does not tell the story. No new positions today. Two positions, 22 percent invested, patient bids on marginal setups reserved for names that actually pass the gates.